Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
2100Z FRI SEP 05 2003
 
CORRECTED TO DELETE 5 DAY POSITION...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  65.1W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT.......100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT.......150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 225SW 375NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  65.1W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  65.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 34.8N  64.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 37.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 39.5N  57.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.5N  52.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 52.0N  38.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 59.0N  15.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N  65.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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