Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
0300Z THU SEP 04 2003
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE WILL LIKELY ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. ALL INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FABIAN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  63.1W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  939 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE  80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 225SE 225SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  63.1W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  62.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 24.9N  64.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.1N  65.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.7N  65.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 32.4N  65.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 38.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 47.0N  49.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 55.5N  32.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N  63.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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