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Hurricane FABIAN (Text)

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
2100Z TUE SEP 02 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  61.1W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE  75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 150SE 150SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  61.1W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  60.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.4N  62.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 22.7N  63.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 24.1N  64.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 31.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 38.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 46.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N  61.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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