Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
1500Z MON SEP 01 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  56.8W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  56.8W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  56.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.2N  58.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.0N  60.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.3N  63.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 25.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 29.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 34.5N  69.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  56.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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