Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
0900Z MON SEP 01 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  55.8W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  55.8W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  55.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.9N  57.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.6N  59.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.7N  61.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 22.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 28.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 32.5N  69.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N  55.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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