Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
0300Z MON SEP 01 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  54.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  54.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  54.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.9N  56.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N  58.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.5N  60.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.3N  65.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 27.5N  68.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 32.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  54.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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