Hurricane FABIAN
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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102003
2100Z FRI AUG 29 2003
CORRECTED FOR INITIAL 50 KT WIND SPEED RADII
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 45.2W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 45.2W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 44.5W
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.0N 50.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 18.0N 52.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 18.5N 55.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 20.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 22.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 45.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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