Tropical Depression TEN

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
2100Z WED AUG 27 2003
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  31.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  31.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  30.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.1N  34.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.6N  37.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.1N  40.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.5N  43.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.5N  48.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 18.5N  52.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 19.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N  31.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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