Tropical Depression NINE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092003
1500Z FRI AUG 22 2003
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO ISLA SAONA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA
LATER TODAY. ALL INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  68.6W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  68.6W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  68.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.2N  70.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.5N  72.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.0N  74.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 23.5N  77.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 24.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 25.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  68.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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