Tropical Depression NINE

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092003
0300Z FRI AUG 22 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD...AND FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI INCLUDING PORT-AU-PRINCE.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  67.0W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  67.0W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  66.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.1N  68.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.2N  70.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.4N  72.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 21.5N  76.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 23.5N  78.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 25.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N  67.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN