Tropical Depression NINE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092003
2100Z THU AUG 21 2003
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHOHA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER WITH THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT-AU-PRINCE...WESTWARD.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  66.1W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  66.1W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  65.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.5N  67.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.5N  70.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 19.0N  74.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 21.5N  76.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 24.0N  78.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 26.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N  66.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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