Hurricane DANNY

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TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052003
1500Z SUN JUL 20 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.6N  40.0W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 25NE 125SE  75SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.6N  40.0W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.9N  40.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 40.6N  38.1W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 39.1N  36.8W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 37.5N  36.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 36.0N  36.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 34.5N  38.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 33.5N  41.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 33.0N  45.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.6N  40.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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