Hurricane DANNY

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TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052003
2100Z SAT JUL 19 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.8N  44.8W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  80 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.8N  44.8W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.7N  45.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 43.2N  41.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 42.0N  39.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.0N  37.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 38.5N  37.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 36.0N  37.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 34.0N  41.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 33.5N  44.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.8N  44.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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