Hurricane DANNY

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HURRICANE DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052003
0300Z SAT JUL 19 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N  50.9W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE 105SE 105SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N  50.9W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.1N  51.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.8N  48.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 42.6N  44.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 42.1N  40.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 40.8N  38.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 38.0N  37.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 35.5N  38.4W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 32.5N  42.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.5N  50.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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