Tropical Storm DANNY

ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052003
0900Z THU JUL 17 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  55.8W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  55.8W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  55.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.0N  56.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 36.6N  55.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 38.4N  54.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.7N  52.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 41.3N  47.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 41.0N  43.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 39.0N  39.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N  55.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN