ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED OCT 08 2003 NORA HAS DEVELOPED A FEW PACTHES OF DEEP CONVECTION HOWEVER... INITIAL INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED TO 25 KNOTS...MOSTLY BASED OF A SHIP OBSERVATION AND ADIOS SCATTEROMETER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST BUT THE DEPRESSION COULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP INTERMITTENT CONVECTION BEFORE DISSIPATION. DRY AIR IS SURROUNDING THE CYCLONE RESULTING IN A GRADUAL WEAKENING. NORA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND THEN NORTH AROUND A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW BRINGING A FEW SQUALLS TO PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO VALLARTA TO LOS MOCHIS. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/1500Z 21.8N 107.6W 25 KT 12HR VT 09/0000Z 23.0N 107.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 09/1200Z 24.0N 107.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 10/0000Z 25.5N 108.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 10/1200Z 27.0N 108.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:00 UTC