Tropical Storm ENRIQUE
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 2003
FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES SHOW A LOW LEVEL CENTER DISPLACED ABOUT 150
MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE DIMINISHING DEEP CONVECTION. ENRIQUE IS
DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION ON THIS BASIS. COLD SSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THE DISSIPATION PROCESS AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
FOR A REMNANT LOW IN 24 HOURS AND TOTAL DISSIPATION AFTER 3
DAYS...IF NOT SOONER.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/14. THE GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT ABOUT A WESTWARD TO JUST SOUTH OF WESTWARD TRACK AS A
STRONG SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE DOMINATES THE STEERING. THE OFFICIAL
TRACK FORECAST IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THIS GUIDANCE.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 13/1500Z 19.9N 120.4W 30 KT
12HR VT 14/0000Z 20.2N 122.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
24HR VT 14/1200Z 20.3N 125.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING
36HR VT 15/0000Z 20.0N 128.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING
48HR VT 15/1200Z 19.5N 130.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING
72HR VT 16/1200Z 19.0N 134.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING
96HR VT 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED
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