ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003 THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE EVIDENCE TO SUPPORT THE EXISTENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER ADVIORIES WILL BE ISSUED FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE TIME SO THAT IT CAN BE DETERMINED FOR SURE THAT CARLOS HAS TOTALLY DISSIPATED. THE WIND SPEED IS REDUCED TO 30 KNOTS BASED ON THE POOR APPEARANCE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS THE FACT THAT MUCH OF WHATEVER CIRCULATION EXISTS IS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ALL WARNINGS FOR MEXICO ARE DISCONTINUED. THE GUIDANCE SHOWS A MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND SOME OF THE MODELS INDICATE REINTENSIFICATION WHEN THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER THE WATER. A 48 HOUR TRACK FORECAST IS MADE EVEN THOUGH IT IS HIGHLY UNLIKELY THAT THE SYSTEM WILL LAST THAT LONG. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/1500Z 16.7N 98.8W 30 KT 12HR VT 28/0000Z 17.1N 99.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 28/1200Z 17.5N 101.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 29/0000Z 18.0N 102.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 29/1200Z 18.4N 103.5W 15 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 30/1200Z...DISSIPATING NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:49:56 UTC