| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Storm PETER (Text)

ZCZC MIATCDAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PETER DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM EST WED DEC 10 2003
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT PETER HAS REFUSED TO DISSIPATE SINCE
NEW BURSTS OF CONVECTION ARE DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
QUADRANT. INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 30 KT.  HOWEVER...THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE SHORT LIVED AND INCREASING
WESTERLY SHEAR AND COOLER WATER SHOULD HINDER FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.  
 
INITIAL MOTION IS 025/15.  PETER SHOULD INCREASE FORWARD SPEED AND
MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER COOLER WATERS AND BECOME ABSORBED BY
A FRONTAL ZONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE
THAT AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW...THE REMNANTS OF PETER...WILL LIKELY
MOVE OVER THE AZORES WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      10/2100Z 25.7N  36.4W    30 KT
 12HR VT     11/0600Z 28.0N  35.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     11/1800Z 32.2N  31.8W    25 KT...ABSORBED BY FRONT
 36HR VT     12/0600Z...EXTRATROPICAL 
 
NNNN