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Tropical Storm MINDY


ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2003
 
NANO NANO...NANO NANO...HEY HEY...GOODBYE.  SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS
EVENING INDICATES MINDY IS A MERE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH THE
EXPOSED CENTER BECOMING INCREASINGLY SEPARATED FROM THE DEEP
FRONTAL-LOOKING CONVECTION TO THE EAST.  MINDY IS DEGENERATING INTO
A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY
UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.  GIVEN THE STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR AND
DRY ENVIRONMENT...THIS SEEMS RATHER UNLIKELY.
 
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 090/5...CONSIDERABLY SLOWER THAN BEFORE AS THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS GETTING LEFT BEHIND AS THE DEEP CONVECTION
CONTINUES MORE RAPIDLY EASTWARD.  THE TRACK FORECAST FOR THE
REMNANTS OF MINDY IS SLOWER THAN AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY AND IS VERY CLOSE TO THE SHALLOW BAM.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      14/0300Z 26.0N  67.4W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 12HR VT     14/1200Z 26.2N  66.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     15/0000Z 26.5N  65.2W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     15/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:00 UTC