Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm ERIKA


ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2003
 
SATELLITE...RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE CENTER
OF ERIKA HAS MOVED INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND IS BEGINNING
TO WEAKEN. THE STEERING PATTERN HAS NOT CHANGED SO...THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST
ABOUT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. FURTHER WEAKENING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF
MEXICO IS ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER...ERIKA MAY CAUSE HEAVY RAINS
PRIMARILY OVER THE MOUNTAINS.
 
THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT ERIKA MAY HAVE BRIEFLY REACHED
HURRICANE STATUS AT LANDFALL. T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB...SAB AND KGWC
WERE ON THE RANGE OF 4.0 AND 4.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. IN
ADDITION...HIGH RESOLUTION DOPPLER WIND DATA FROM BROWNSVILLE
REPORTED PEAK WINDS OF 91 KNOTS AT 2500 FEET WITHIN A SMALL AREA TO
THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO. THIS
CORRESPONDS TO AT LEAST 65 KNOTS AT THE SURFACE. THIS IS ALSO
SUPPORTED BY THE 987 MB MINIMUM PRESSURE AND THE CLOSED EYEWALL
REPORTED BY THE RECON.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      16/1500Z 25.3N  98.3W    45 KT
 12HR VT     17/0000Z 25.0N 100.5W    30 KT
 24HR VT     17/1200Z 25.0N 103.0W    25 KT
 36HR VT     18/0000Z...DISSIPATING
 
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:49:57 UTC