Tropical Storm BILL

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE JUL 01 2003

BILL HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FAR INLAND AND HAS BECOME 
PRIMARILY A HEAVY RAIN EVENT. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS NEAR THE CENTER
INDICATE THAT THE MINIMUM PRESSURE IS AROUND 1003 MB AND WINDS ARE
25 TO 30 KNOTS. STRONGER WIND GUSTS ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE COAST FROM EASTERN LOUISIANA TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. 

BILL SHOULD BE DISSIPATING IN ABOUT 6 TO 12 HOURS BUT A REMNANT LOW
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS LOW WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
HEAVY RAINS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF
ITS PATH. 

AT LONGER RANGE...BOTH THE GFS AND THE UK MODELS WEAKEN THE REMNANT
LOW AND DO NOT FORECAST THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN EXTRATROPICAL STORM.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      01/0900Z 31.8N  89.0W    30 KT
 12HR VT     01/1800Z 33.1N  87.8W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     02/0600Z 35.0N  85.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     02/1800Z 36.5N  83.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     03/0600Z 38.0N  80.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 
 
 
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