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ABNT30 KNHC 011246
TWSAT
MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM EST FRI NOV 1 2002
SUMMARY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY DURING OCTOBER 2002...
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
ONLY ONE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMED DURING OCTOBER...TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN. HOWEVER KYLE AND LILI BOTH FORMED IN
SEPTEMBER AND CONTINUED INTO OCTOBER. IT IS RATHER UNUSUAL FOR NO
TROPICAL STORMS OR HURRICANES TO FORM IN THE MONTH OF OCTOBER.
KYLE LASTED FOR 22 DAYS...MAKING IT THE THIRD LONGEST-LIVED ATLANTIC
TROPICAL CYCLONE AFTER GINGER OF 1971 AND INGA OF 1969. KYLE
STRENGTHENED INTO A TROPICAL STORM FOUR SEPARATE TIMES. IT
DEVELOPED FROM A NON-TROPICAL LOW ABOUT 820 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
BERMUDA ON 20 SEPTEMBER. AFTER MOVING IN A LOOP FOR A FEW DAYS...IT
MOVED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND STRENGTHENED INTO AN 85-MPH HURRICANE
ON THE 26TH. KYLE BEGAN WEAKENING ON THE 27TH AND BY OCTOBER
1ST...IT WAS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCATED ABOUT 255 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA. MOVING ERRATICALLY...KYLE
RE-INTENSIFIED TO A 65-MPH TROPICAL STORM ON 2 OCTOBER. KYLE THEN
MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AND WEAKENED BACK TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION EARLY
ON THE 5TH. THE DEPRESSION MEANDERED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS WHILE
REGAINING TROPICAL STORM STATUS ON THE 6TH. KYLE BEGAN MOVING
SOUTHWESTWARD AND AGAIN WEAKENED TO A DEPRESSION ON THE 8TH. A DAY
LATER THE SYSTEM TURNED WESTWARD TOWARD FLORIDA...BUT AS KYLE
APPROACHED LAND IT CURVED TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...PARALLELING THE
NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. IT RESTRENGTHENED INTO A TROPICAL STORM
JUST TO THE EAST OF JACKSONVILLE EARLY ON THE 11TH. KYLE SOON
TURNED NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD AND MADE LANDFALL THAT AFTERNOON
NEAR MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA WITH MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 45 MPH.
KYLE CONTINUED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
AND PASSED NEAR CAPE HATTERAS EARLY ON THE 12TH. IT BECAME
EXTRATROPICAL SHORTLY THEREAFTER.
HURRICANE LILI'S TRACK BEGAN ON SEPTEMBER 21TH WHEN A DEPRESSION
FORMED IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. LILI MOVED QUICKLY ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON THE
23RD AS A DEVELOPING TROPICAL STORM AND LEFT FOUR DEAD IN ST.
VINCENT FROM MUD SLIDES. THE TROPICAL STORM WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL
WAVE ON THE 25TH AND 26TH AS IT MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. REGAINING TROPICAL STORM STATUS ON THE
27TH...LILI TOOK A SLOW JOG AROUND THE NORTH COAST OF JAMAICA ON THE
28TH TO THE 30TH AND DUMPED HEAVY RAIN THERE AS WELL AS OVER
SOUTHERN HAITI AND, TO A LESSER EXTENT, EASTERN CUBA. THERE WERE
FOUR FLOOD-RELATED DEATHS IN JAMAICA. STRENGTHENING...LILI HIT
WESTERN CUBA ON OCTOBER 1ST AS A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. IT MOVED INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO WHERE IT
QUICKLY STRENGTHENED TO 145 MPH...CATEGORY 4 INTENSITY...ON THE 2ND.
LILI THEN RAPIDLY LOST STRENGTH...AND MADE LANDFALL AS A BORDERLINE
CATEGORY 1/CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
ON THE 3RD. LILI MERGED WITH AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW OVER THE
EAST-CENTRAL UNITED STATES ON 4 OCTOBER. A PRELIMINARY AND RATHER
UNCERTAIN U.S. DAMAGE ESTIMATE IS $700 MILLION DOLLARS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORMED ON OCTOBER 14 FROM A BROAD LOW
PRESSURE AREA OFF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS. INITIALLY
MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...THE DEPRESSION TURNED SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD
LATER THAT DAY. THE CENTER PASSED WEST OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS ON
THE 15TH...THEN REACHED THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA AS IT
MERGED WITH A COLD FRONT ON THE 16TH. WHILE THE DEPRESSION BROUGHT
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS...THERE ARE NO REPORTS OF DAMAGE OR CASUALTIES.
PRELIMINARY SUMMARY TABLE
NAME DATES WIND-MPH DEATHS U.S. DAMAGE
----------- -------------- -------- ------ -----------
H KYLE 20 SEP-12 OCT 85 0 0
H LILI 21 SEP- 4 OCT 145 8 $700,000,000
TD FOURTEEN 14-16 OCT 35 0 0
FORECASTERS BEVEN/LAWRENCE/PASCH/STEWART
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