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BULLETIN
HURRICANE KENNA ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT FRI OCT 25 2002
 
...KENNA WEAKENS TO CATEGORY FOUR...BUT ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL AS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN SOUTHWARD TO LA FORTUNA...INCLUDING ISLAS
MARIAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA FORTUNA
TO MANZANILLO.
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD
HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KENNA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.9 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...115
KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TEPIC MEXICO.

KENNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH ...32 KM/HR.  SOME
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON 
THE EXPECTED TRACK...THE CENTER OF KENNA WILL BE MAKING LANDFALL 
WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 145
MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THIS MAKES KENNA A CATEGORY
FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  LITTLE
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.  STRONGER
WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  943 MB...27.85 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH KENNA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE 
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE 
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE 
COAST.

REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...21.1 N...105.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...145 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 943 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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