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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT WED SEP 25 2002
 
...DEPRESSION NEARING THE COAST OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO
FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 101.9 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...100 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 
OF ZIHUATANEJO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH ... 11 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
PASS VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN ZIHUATANEJO AND PUNTA
SAN TELMO BY EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM 
THIS AFTERNOON.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.  THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

HEAVY SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE COASTAL WATERS FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD 
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.

REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...16.8 N...101.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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