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TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIO ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT THU SEP 26 2002
 
...JULIO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...INLAND OVER
   MEXICO... 
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
JULIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.9 
WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...EAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED 
HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH JULIO.  THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...19.0 N...103.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/COBB
 
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