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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT WED SEP 25 2002
 
...DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO...WARNING ISSUED...

AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA SAN
TELMO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO
MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER 
SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO HAS DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 101.9 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...165 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 
OF ZIHUATANEJO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH ... 6 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
PASS VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN ZIHUATANEJO AND PUNTA
SAN TELMO BY EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM 
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.  THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

HEAVY SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE COASTAL WATERS FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD 
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.

REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...16.2 N...101.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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