[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT FRI SEP 06 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN BAJA
PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO SAN LUCAS NORTHWARD TO CABO SAN
LAZARO.  AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ELEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST 
OR ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS 
MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 
24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR 
AND TO THE WEST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS MAY AFFECT THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA 
CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...21.5 N...111.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM 
PDT.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
NNNN

Webmaster