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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   
4A...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

CORRECTED TO INCLUDE CENTRAL BAHAMAS IN WATCH AREA
 
...DEPRESSION DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA
CLARA...SANCTI SPRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS... 
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...NEW PROVIDENCE...CAT
ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD TO KEY WEST
FLORIDA...EXCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT
135 MILES...215 KM...SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD NEAR 3 MPH
...5 KM/HR...BUT A STEADY MOTION TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 
NORTHEAST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER 
TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH 
HIGHER GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM LATER TODAY.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY RECONNAISSANCE 
AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL ON THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER 
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...17.9 N... 82.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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