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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STILL STATIONARY...  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL
CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...
MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPRITUS...AND THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD TO KEY WEST...
EXCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...
ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR
ABOUT 195 MILES...315 KM...SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.  THIS
IS ALSO ABOUT 300 MILES...480 KM...SOUTH OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

THE DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY.  A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR
NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.  AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE INVESTIGATING THE 
DEPRESSION SHORTLY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...17.0 N... 83.2 W.  MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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