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TROPICAL STORM LILI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 49B
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM CDT THU OCT 03 2002

...LILI WEAKENS AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...
  
AT 2 PM CDT...1900 UTC...THE COASTAL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN 
DISCONTINUED.  

AT 2 PM CDT...1900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED 
BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.4 WEST OR ABOUT 50 
MILES...SOUTH OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA.
 
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...BRINGING THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL 
CYCLONE FARTHER INLAND.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH AND THESE
WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A VERY SMALL AREA TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE
CENTER.  A FEW SPOTS OF HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE LEVELS WILL BE DECREASING THIS AFTERNOON. 

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION 
WITH LILI.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE DANGEROUS FLOODING.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL
SOUTH MISSISSIPPI TODAY.

REPEATING THE 2 PM CDT POSITION...30.7 N... 92.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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