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HURRICANE LILI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  43A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT WED OCT 02 2002

...LILI HEADED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO
THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FREEPORT TO HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS...AND FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN.
 
AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 405 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...AND A GRADUAL 
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LILI COULD STRENGTHEN INTO A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE TODAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES FROM THE 
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE 
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS LIKELY 
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.  THIS
SURGE COULD SPREAD WELL INLAND ACROSS THE LOW-LYING AREAS OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...24.4 N... 88.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 954 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 
10 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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