[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LILI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  36A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT MON SEP 30 2002
 
...LILI LASHING LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO AND THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REST OF CUBA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA.  HOWEVER...OUTER RAINBANDS WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT JAMAICA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THESE RAINS 
COULD STILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST OR 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LITTLE CAYMAN.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 205 MILES...325
KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH CUBA.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME 
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 
HOURS.  THERE WAS A REPORT OF 70 TO 80 MPH WIND GUSTS THIS MORNING 
FROM LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE 
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND
EASTERN CUBA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...19.9 N... 80.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXTADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster