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TROPICAL STORM LILI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  34A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT MON SEP 30 2002

...LILI...A LITTLE STRONGER...MOVING ERRATICALLY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CUBA.  A HURRICANE 
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA 
HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.7 WEST OR ABOUT 165 
MILES...265 KM...EAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.
 
LILI HAS MOVED ERRATICALLY IN A GENERALLY WESTWARD DIRECTION NEAR 5
MPH...8 KM/HR...OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.  A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY.  ON THIS TRACK...THE STORM WILL MOVE AWAY
FROM JAMAICA AND MOVE NEAR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND SOUTHERN CUBA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND LILI COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
... 110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
  
HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA AND ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY 
SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  THESE 
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...19.1 N... 78.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
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