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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT SUN SEP 29 2002
...LILI CONTINUES TO MEANDER NEAR JAMAICA...
CUBA IS UNDER THE FOLLOWING WATCHES OR WARNINGS:
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO...
AND HOLGUIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN
PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND CIEGO
DE AVILA. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.1 WEST OR ABOUT
35 MILES...57 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.
LILI HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY WESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH...8 TO 16 KM/HR...
ON MONDAY. THIS TRACK WILL TAKE THE STORM AWAY FROM JAMAICA AND
NEAR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA AIRCRAFT IS
992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA AND ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...19.0 N... 78.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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