[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  30A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2002

...LILY PASSING JUST NORTH OF JAMAICA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...
GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA
CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS AND CIEGO DE AVILA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN.
 
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED
BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE
76.8 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES ...210 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
GUANTANAMO BAY CUBA.

LILI HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR  6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...OVER 
THE PAST FEW HOURS.  HOWEVER A GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION 
IS EXPECTED TODAY.  THIS WOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE SOUTH COAST 
OF EASTERN CUBA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 
1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN
HISPANIOLA...JAMAICA AND EASTERN CUBA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...18.9 N... 76.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN

Webmaster