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TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM AST WED SEP 25 2002

...LILI WEAKENING OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE 
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF HAITI.
 
AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.9 WEST OR 
ABOUT 335 MILES...540 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO.
 
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND A 
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 
24 HOURS. 
 
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATED THE AREA THIS 
EVENING AND FOUND A VERY BROAD...BUT POORLY ORGANIZED CIRCULATION.
IF FURTHER WEAKENING OCCURS LILI MAY BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION LATER TODAY WITH WATCHES DISCONTINUED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES
...205 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...13.9 N... 67.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 5 AM AST. 

FORECASTER JARVINEN/COBB
 
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