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TROPICAL STORM LILI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM AST MON SEP 23 2002

...TROPICAL STORM LILI CROSSING THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN LESSER
ANTILLES FROM ST. LUCIA SOUTHWARD TO GRENADA AND ITS ISLAND
DEPENDENCIES...AND ALSO FOR BARBADOS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL LESSER
ANTILLES FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTHWARD TO MARTINIQUE.
 
AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.0 WEST OR ABOUT
45 MILES...25 KM...WEST OF THE GRENADINE ISLANDS. 
 
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...AND A
GENERAL WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS
TRACK...TROPICAL STORM LILI WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EMERGE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BY TUESDAY
MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... 
BUT LILI IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES 
THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS... 
WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH HAVE OCCURRED AT BARBADOS AND GUSTS TO 50 MPH 
HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT ST. LUCIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER 
HIGHER TERRAIN...IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND 
BARBADOS TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...12.7 N... 62.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH/KNABB
 
 
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