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TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 29 2002

...LYLY MOVING SLOWLY NEAR JAMAICA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO AND
HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS AND CIEGO DE AVILA.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.5 WEST OR ABOUT 60 
MILES...100 KM...NORTHWEST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.
 
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH... 9 KM/HR... 
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON MONDAY.  ON THIS 
TRACK...THE STORM WILL MOVE AWAY FROM JAMAICA AND MOVE NEAR THE 
CAYMAN ISLANDS AND SOUTHERN CUBA.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR  65 MPH...100 
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND LILY COULD BECOME A HURICANE.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
A RECENT U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
  
HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA AND ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY 
SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  THESE 
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...19.2 N... 78.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM 
EDT...MONDAY.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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