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TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 29 2002

...LILI GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED WHILE MEANDERING NEAR THE 
NORTHWESTERN COAST OF JAMAICA...
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...
GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN
EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...
SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND CIEGO DE AVILA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE 
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.8 WEST OR ABOUT
15 MILES...25 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.
 
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR  5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS 
MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...BUT A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD 
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. THERE MAY BE SOME ERRATIC 
MOTION UNTIL LILI MOVES AWAY FROM JAMAICA LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY 
MONDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE 
AIRCRAFT ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME 
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA AND GRADUALLY SPREAD OVER 
PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA LATER TONIGHT.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.  SEVERE FLOODING AND 
MUD SLIDES CONTINUE TO BE REPORTED ACROSS JAMAICA.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...18.7 N... 77.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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