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TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2002

...LILI PASSING NORTH OF JAMAICA...APPROACHING EASTERN CUBA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...
GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA
CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS AND CIEGO DE AVILA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.1 WEST OR 
ABOUT 70 MILES...110 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO CRUZ ON THE SOUTH COAST 
OF EASTERN CUBA.
 
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. 
 ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE PASSING NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF 
EASTERN CUBA LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF JAMAICA AND 
EASTERN CUBA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...19.1 N... 77.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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