[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002

...LILI DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING ON THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND
CAMAGUEY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.8 WEST OR 
ABOUT 110 MILES...180 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUANTANAMO BAY CUBA.
 
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR  3 MPH
... 6 KM/HR...AND A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS WOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF 
EASTERN CUBA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS ARE SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA...AND ARE
LIKELY TO SPREAD ACROSS JAMAICA AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...18.6 N... 75.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
NNNN


Webmaster