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TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 28 2002

...LILI STILL MEANDERING AS IT ORGANIZES...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING ON THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND
CAMAGUEY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE 
CENTER OF LILI IS NOT WELL-DEFINED AND MAY BE REFORMING TO THE 
NORTHEAST OF ITS FORMER POSITION.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
LILI WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.5 WEST 
OR ABOUT 85 MILES...140 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND 
ABOUT 130 MILES...210 KM...SOUTH OF GUANTANAMO BY CUBA.
 
LILI HAS CONTINUED TO MEANDER AS IT TRYS TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. 
A SLOW NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED LATER 
TODAY.  ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF LILI WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTH 
COAST OF EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE 
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI AND SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD OVER 
PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA LATER TODAY.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...18.1 N... 75.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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