HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED SEP 25 2002

...LILI REMAINS DISORGANIZED...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF
HAITI...AND ALSO FOR JAMAICA.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN HAITI MAY BE UPGRADED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING THURSDAY MORNING.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF
TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 14.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.3 WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES...485 KM...SOUTH OF
SANTO DOMINGO.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR...BUT A
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155 MILES
...250 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FOUND THE STRONGEST WINDS IN 
THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE...WITH VERY LIGHT WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST.  
ALSO...THE AIR FORCE METEOROLOGIST ON THE PLANE INDICATED THAT THE 
WORST WEATHER EXTENDED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE 
CENTER.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...14.2 N... 70.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST...THURSDAY.
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
NNNN