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TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED SEP 25 2002

...LILI APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ACROSS
   THE CARIBBEAN SEA... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF HAITI.
  
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.4 WEST OR ABOUT 310 
MILES...500 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO. 
 
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...
19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN THE AREA LATER 
THIS MORNING TO DETERMINE IF LILI HAS WEAKENED. IF THIS TREND 
CONTINUES OCCURS LILI MAY BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR 
A TROPICAL WAVE LATER TODAY AND WATCHES MAY BE DISCONTINUED.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES
...205 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.1 N... 68.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/COBB
 
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