[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 24 2002
 
...LILI CONTINUING WESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN...EXPECTED
TO TURN WEST-NORTHWEST LATER TODAY... 
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.5 WEST OR ABOUT
510 MILES...820 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. 
 
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...A TURN TO 
WARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED 
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES
...200 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER 
HIGHER TERRAIN...IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...13.0 N... 64.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/COBB
 
NNNN


Webmaster