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TROPICAL STORM KYLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 40A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM AST MON SEP 30 2002

...REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
KYLE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 130 MILES...205 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.  HOWEVER...SATELLITE
AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THIS CENTER IS WEAKENING AND A
NEW CENTER COULD BE FORMING ABOUT 250 MILES...400 KM...TO THE SOUTH. 
IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...THE LOCATION AND FORECAST WILL BE ADJUSTED 
IN THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY.

KYLE HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND  
LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE THE CENTER.  THE COMBINATION OF 
KYLE AND A COLD FRONT TO THE NORTH IS PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
GUSTS IN BERMUDA.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...30.5 N...  65.0 W.  MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1002 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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