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HURRICANE ISIDORE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2002
 
...ISIDORE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...STRONG WINDS APPROACHING THE 
ISLE OF YOUTH...CUBA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA
KEYS...WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN CUBA PROVINCES
OF MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA AND PINAR DEL
RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS LOCATED
BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.3 
WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...125 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLE OF 
YOUTH OR 160 MILES...260 KM...SOUTH OF HAVANA CUBA.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 
24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WILL PASS 
OVER OR VERY NEAR THE ISLE OF YOUTH EARLY FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR  80 MPH...130 
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED 
BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST OF CUBA.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  15 MILES...30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED IS  981 MB...28.97 INCHES.
 
EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...UP T0 20 TO 30 INCHES...CAN BE 
EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE 
DAYS.  

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE 
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE 
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...20.7 N... 82.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 981 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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