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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2002
 
...ISIDORE SLOWLY HEADING TOWARD WESTERN CUBA...

AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA
HABANA AND PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  A
HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SANCTI-SPIRITUS AND CIEGO DE AVILA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.  
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 19.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...205 KM...EAST OF
GRAND CAYMAN.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  EVEN
THOUGH THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM JAMAICA THIS
EVENING...CONDITIONS THERE WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE SINCE MOST OF
THE HEAVY RAINS AND WINDS ARE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY...AND ISIDORE IS EXPECTED 
TO BE CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT 
WAS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.  HEAVY RAINS ARE NOW MOVING INTO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...19.4 N... 79.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 
11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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