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HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN SEP 22 2002

...ISIDORE MOVES NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH 125 MPH WINDS...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTH AND EAST COASTS OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM TULUM TO PROGRESSO...INCLUDING THE ISLAND
OF COZUMEL.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN CUBA
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55 
MILES...90 KM...NORTHWEST OF CABO CATOCHE ON THE NORTHWEST TIP OF 
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
 
ISIDORE IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD 
THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT THE SAME FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED 
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL COME VERY 
CLOSE TO THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND MIGHT MOVE 
ONSHORE...BRINGING THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE ONSHORE.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY RECONNAISSANCE 
AIRCRAFT IS 936 MB...27.64 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES ARE STILL
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  VERY 
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO AFFECTING THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN 
PENINSULA.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN 
PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS 
ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES.  STORM SURGE FLOODING COULD INCREASE TO 
8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IF THE CENTER MOVES ONSHORE.
  
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...22.0 N... 87.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 936 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM 
CDT.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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